A new poll shows that former President Donald Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris significantly among Black voters for the 2024 election.
The survey, conducted by the Angus Reid Institute between July 23 and 25, included 1,743 registered voters. The results indicate Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, leads Trump by 2 points (44 percent to 42 percent) with just over three months until the November election.
When looking specifically at Black voters, the poll reveals that more than two-thirds (67 percent) of the 226 Black voters surveyed plan to vote for Harris. Only 12 percent said they would back Trump, while 17 percent remain undecided.
This poll result adds to the challenges facing Trump’s campaign, especially following President Joe Biden‘s decision to end his re-election bid on July 21.
Before Biden’s withdrawal, there were concerns about his support among Black voters, crucial to his 2020 victory, particularly in swing states like Georgia. Trump was seen as possibly capitalizing on these concerns.
Trump’s communications director, Steven Cheung, responded to the poll results by stating, “President Trump has actually gained support from 2016 and 2020, so Democrats have actually lost Black support.” Newsweek has reached out to the Harris campaign for a comment.
In the 2020 election, Trump received 8 percent of the Black vote, according to Pew Research. As the country heads into another election year, national and swing state polls reviewed by Bloomberg suggest that Trump’s Black voter support ranges between 14 percent and 30 percent.
A spokesperson for the Angus Reid Institute noted that Harris has “overwhelming” support among Black voters in the latest poll.
The spokesperson also mentioned that a significant portion of non-white voters remain undecided, in contrast to white voters, 51 percent of whom plan to vote for Trump.
Additionally, Harris leads Trump by 16 points (49 percent to 33 percent) among Hispanic voters, according to the poll.
Other polls support the notion that Harris has strong backing from Black voters. Harris, the first woman, Black person, and person of South Asian descent to serve as vice president, would make history as the first female president if she wins in November.
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A CNN poll conducted between July 22-23 with 1,631 registered voters found that Harris had the support of 78 percent of Black voters, while Trump had 15 percent. A previous poll, taken before Biden’s withdrawal, showed 23 percent of Black voters supporting Trump.
In a WDIV/Detroit News poll of 600 likely Michigan voters, Trump and Harris were tied at 41 percent. However, when broken down by race, Trump had no support among Black voters in the swing state.
Costas Panagopoulos, a political science professor at Northeastern University, commented on the shift in support, saying, “The swift shift from Trump to Harris among Black voters indicates how unstable Trump’s support was.
Once they had a viable alternative who shares their racial identity, they quickly moved away from Trump.”
The Angus Reid Institute poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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